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  • What Happened On Aug. 9
    by FiveThirtyEight on August 11, 2022 at 3:19 pm in Featured video, Politics Podcast, Video

    In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew reacts to Tuesday’s primary elections in Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin and considers what the results of the special election in Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District could mean for other special elections this year. They also discuss the trend of Republican primary challengers defeating incumbents this

  • This Could Finally Be The Year For The Connecticut Sun
    by James L. Jackson on August 11, 2022 at 10:00 am in Alyssa Thomas, Basketball, Brionna Jones, Connecticut Sun, Courtney Williams, Jonquel Jones, WNBA

    Few franchises in all of pro sports have been as consistently good as the Connecticut Sun without ever actually winning a league championship. Over 24 seasons in the WNBA, Connecticut’s 55.7 winning percentage ranks second among active teams (third if we include now-defunct franchises). No other active team with a better than .500 record has

  • Waiting Rooms With Bulletproof Windows
    by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux on August 11, 2022 at 10:00 am in Abortion, Partners In Abortion Care Clinic

    This is the second entry in a series tracking what it’s like to open an all-trimester abortion clinic in the U.S. as abortion rights are being curtailed. Morgan Nuzzo thinks a lot about how someone might kill her. She talked about it calmly, almost offhandedly, as she and I walked through the abortion clinic she’s

  • Politics Podcast: Democrats Over-Perform Again In Wake Of The Dobbs Decision
    by Galen Druke on August 10, 2022 at 9:48 pm in 2022 Midterms, FiveThirtyEight Podcasts, Minnesota, Politics Podcast, Vermont, Wisconsin

    In Minnesota’s special general election on Tuesday, Republican Brad Finstad won by only 4 percentage points in the 1st Congressional District, where then-President Donald Trump won by double digits in 2020, adding evidence to the idea that the GOP is experiencing a backlash after the Supreme Court’s decision on abortion. In this installment of the

  • The Datasets We’re Looking At This Week
    by Jeremy Singer-Vine on August 10, 2022 at 5:18 pm in Data Is Plural

    You’re reading Data Is Plural, a weekly newsletter of useful/curious datasets. Below you’ll find the Aug. 10, 2022, edition, reprinted with permission at FiveThirtyEight. 2022.08.10 edition Young adult migration, social capital, CPUs and GPUs, trade in post-unification Italy and “Star Trek” computer talk. Young adult migration. Researchers at Harvard University and the U.S. Census Bureau

  • Winning Baseball In 2022 Is All About The ‘Big 3’
    by Neil Paine on August 10, 2022 at 2:56 pm in Atlanta Braves, Baseball, Cleveland Guardians, Houston Astros, Los Angeles Angels, Los Angeles Dodgers, MLB, New York Mets, New York Yankees, Philadelphia Phillies, San Diego Padres, St. Louis Cardinals

    In the NBA, any talk of building a superteam usually centers around the notion of a Big Three: a trio of stars so daunting that it can carry just about any roster to a championship. In the past 15 years, we’ve seen that model work for the Boston Celtics, Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors.

  • How Democrats And Republicans Think Differently About Crime And Gun Violence
    by Geoffrey Skelley on August 10, 2022 at 10:00 am in 2022 Election, American Issues, Crime, Gun Violence

    Devastating mass shootings, one after another. Gun reform legislation for the first time in decades. Violent crime up since 2019. Debates over whether to fund or defund police. For the better part of two years now, crime and gun violence have consistently been in the news and on the minds of Americans, which is why

  • What Went Down In Elections In Minnesota, Wisconsin, Vermont And Connecticut
    by FiveThirtyEight on August 9, 2022 at 11:00 pm in 2022 Election, 2022 Governors Elections, 2022 House Elections, 2022 Midterms, 2022 Primaries, 2022 Senate Elections, Connecticut Election results, Connecticut Primary, Election Deniers, Election Results, Live Blog, Minnesota Politics, Primary Results, Wisconsin Election Results, Wisconsin Politics, Wisconsin Primary
  • Why Some Red States Are Passing New Abortion Laws And Some Aren’t
    by FiveThirtyEight on August 9, 2022 at 6:23 pm in Abortion, Featured video, Politics Podcast, Video

    In Part 3 of this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew checks in on where debates over new abortion bans stand around the country, including Indiana’s, which was the first new legislation since the overturning of Roe v. Wade that bans abortions with few exceptions.

  • Americans View ‘Crime’ and ‘Gun Violence’ As Different Issues
    by FiveThirtyEight on August 9, 2022 at 6:20 pm in Featured video, Politics Podcast, Video

    In Part 2 of this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the team reviews a polling experiment that tested how live-person polls by Siena College compared with online and text-message polls by Emerson College. They also give a preview of the latest round of polling from FiveThirtyEight’s collaboration with Ipsos, which broke down how Americans

  • Democrats Have A Lot Riding On The Inflation Reduction Act
    by FiveThirtyEight on August 9, 2022 at 6:19 pm in Featured video, Inflation Reduction Act, Politics Podcast, Video

    On Sunday the Senate passed the largest climate-change-intervention bill in American history, the Inflation Reduction Act. In Part 1 of this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether Democrats could turn around President Biden’s approval rating with this newest piece of legislation, assuming they can get it past the House.

  • The NFL Teams That Made Their Own Luck — And Misfortune — In 2021
    by Ty Schalter on August 9, 2022 at 10:00 am in Football, Indianapolis Colts, NFL, Win Probabilities

    “Why are we here?” Indianapolis Colts cornerback Kenny Moore wondered back in February. He wasn’t having an existential crisis. He was trying to figure out how he and five other Colts were together at the Pro Bowl, neither recovering from a playoff run nor preparing to play in Super Bowl LVl. It’s an annual offseason

  • Can Progressive Candidates In Minnesota, Vermont And Wisconsin Win Their Primaries?
    by Geoffrey Skelley on August 9, 2022 at 10:00 am in 2022 Election, 2022 Primaries, Minnesota Politics, Vermont, Wisconsin Primary

    The busy August primary season continues apace today with elections in Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. Yesterday, my colleague Nathaniel Rakich dug into the Republican primaries of note, so now we’re going to take a look at four primaries of note on the Democratic side. Three of these races involve progressive Democrats who are on

  • Politics Podcast: Could The Inflation Reduction Act Save Biden’s Approval Rating?
    by Galen Druke on August 8, 2022 at 9:57 pm in 2022 Midterms, Abortion, Climate Change, Crime, FiveThirtyEight Podcasts, Inflation, Politics Podcast, Polling Accuracy

    On Sunday, the Senate passed the largest climate change intervention bill in American history, the Inflation Reduction Act. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether Democrats could turn around Biden’s approval rating with this newest piece of legislation, assuming they can get it through the House. The team then reviews

  • Wisconsin Spent Months Investigating The 2020 Election. These Candidates Still Believe It Was Fraudulent.
    by Kaleigh Rogers on August 8, 2022 at 4:12 pm in 2022 Election, 2022 Primaries, Election Deniers, Election Deniers On The Ballot, Featured video, Video, Wisconsin

    In another episode of Election Deniers On The Ballot, reporter Kaleigh Rogers explores the candidates running in Wisconsin’s Republican primary elections who believe the 2020 election with stolen from former President Donald Trump. Transcript KALEIGH ROGERS: Just hours before a mob of rioters smashed their way into the Capitol building on Jan. 6, 2021, a

  • The NBA Is Turning To Wearable Sensors To Prevent Player Injuries
    by Ben Dowsett on August 8, 2022 at 10:00 am in Basketball, NBA, Technology

    When NBA Commissioner Adam Silver spoke at the league’s inaugural Launchpad technology event during last month’s Las Vegas Summer League, his primary focus was unmistakable: using the NBA’s burgeoning realm of basketball-related tech to improve player availability. Silver’s comments were pointed, and he took aim at more than just injuries. “There’s nothing more frustrating, obviously,

  • 3 Republican Primaries — And A Special Election — To Watch In Minnesota And Wisconsin
    by Nathaniel Rakich on August 8, 2022 at 10:00 am in 2022 Election, 2022 Primaries, Minnesota, Wisconsin

    In summertime, I like to head north to beat the heat — and that’s exactly what we’re doing with Tuesday’s elections. The upper-latitude states of Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin are all holding their primaries on Tuesday, and Minnesota — the nation’s north star — is also hosting a special election that could provide clues

  • It’s Hard To Win A Senate Race When You’ve Never Won An Election Before
    by Nate Silver on August 5, 2022 at 5:55 pm in 2022 Election, 2022 Midterms, Election Update

    Politics doesn’t have a farm system in the way that professional baseball does. But it has a hierarchy of its own for cultivating political prospects. The path usually goes something like this: First, a candidate wins some relatively minor, local office like city council or state representative. Then, they either win a seat in the

  • The Supreme Court Is Unpopular. But Do Americans Want Change?
    by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux on August 5, 2022 at 4:57 pm in Court Packing, Featured video, Reigning Supreme, Supreme Court, Video

    Many Americans are dissatisfied with the Supreme Court, but there are very few ways to rein in the justices. The easiest option — expanding the court — has been unpopular for years, but in the wake of the court’s controversial decisions on guns and abortion, have Americans changed their minds? Transcript The current Supreme Court

  • Why The Same Temperature Can Feel Different Somewhere Else
    by Maggie Koerth on August 5, 2022 at 1:56 pm in Climate Change, Global Warming, Temperatures, Weather

    In much of the United States, the high 80s in Fahrenheit is hot, but it’s not hot-hot. It could even be a day of sweet relief in the South, maybe time for a family picnic. But last month, across the United Kingdom, headlines warned of temperatures that could hit 31 degrees Celsius. When Americans found